Accuracy of predictions of survival at admission to the intensive care unit Academic Article Article uri icon


MeSH Major

  • Oxygen


  • ICU attendings predicted most accurately and consistently the final outcome of patients, and ICU fellows estimated outcome more reliably than the primary service. For the most part, the primary service tended to overestimate the probability of favorable outcome of patients for whom ICU admission had been requested. Additionally, clinical accuracy of survival or mortality was best for those patients at the extremes of clinical compromise: this point seems to confirm the validity of using clinical judgement as a guide to restricting ICU resources for those severely compromised or mildly compromised.This study also indicates that predictions of outcome in critically ill patients made within days of admission are statistically valid but not sufficiently reliable to justify irrevocable clinical decisions at present.

publication date

  • March 22, 2001



  • Academic Article


Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1053/jcrc.2001.21794

PubMed ID

  • 11230722

Additional Document Info

start page

  • 32

end page

  • 5


  • 16


  • 1